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Revving Up for the Future: Navigating the Electric Vehicle Investment Landscape

Published by MEXEM Technical Analysis

July 25, 2024 2:51 PM
(GMT+2)

Published - July 27th, 2023 @ 09:47 AM (GMT+2)

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‍The Future of EV stocks:

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The future of electric vehicle (EV) stocks is promising, encompassing a range of industries from vehicle manufacturers to battery producers and even semiconductor and mining companies. Several companies in the sector are going public, while traditional automakers plan to release a surge of EVs over the next five years. Global EV markets are diverse, shaped by policy, corporate activity, consumer preferences, and cultural specifics. Countries such as China, Europe, and the U.S., where policies have jump-started early adoption, are seeing maturing EV markets. The global EV market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 21.7%, expanding from 8.1 million units to 39.21 million by 2030, spurred by environmental concerns and increased model variety. Nations like the U.K., phasing out combustion vehicles by 2030, influence this shift.


Why to invest in EV Stocks?
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Investing in electric vehicle (EV) offers investors a lucrative opportunity to participate in the expansion of these sectors, profiting from increasing global demand. As global governments actively endorse the use of clean energy and EVs, these industries are poised for substantial growth. A primary driver for this expansion is heightened environmental concern around traditional energy sources such as fossil fuels, which contribute significantly to climate change. The shift towards clean energy solutions and EVs, regarded as more sanitary, more sustainable alternatives to conventional combustion engines, is fueled by advancements in battery technology, governmental incentives, and growing environmental consciousness. Companies in the EV sectors stand to benefit from this market growth, offering a promising investment prospect for those looking to participate in and profit from these expanding industries.


Benefits to consider when investing in EV stocks:

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  1. High Return Potential: The clean energy and EV industries are growing rapidly with an increasing demand for environmentally friendly products. Consequently, many companies in these sectors are positioned on promising investors solid prospects for long-term growth offering lucrative return possibilities for investors.

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  1. Social & Environmental Goals: Investments in EV companies allow investors to sync their financial aims with their environmental and social objectives, aiding global sustainability efforts.

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  1. Expanding Industry: The EV industry's expected swift growth, propelled by ambitious governmental EV adoption targets, can translate into higher company revenues and potentially increased stock prices.

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  1. Technological Innovation: Significant investment in new technology and infrastructure for EV development allows companies to gain a competitive edge in the market, possibly driving higher stock prices.

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  1. Government Incentives: Worldwide, governments are backingEV technologies through subsidies, tax credits, and other incentives, reducing investment risk and enhancing the appeal of these sectors.
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Governmental incentives for EV purchase and adoption stimulate demand, drive company sales, and establish a favourable regulatory environment for the clean energy transition, further solidifying the importance of investing in EV stocks.

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5 EV stocks to invest in:
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Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA):

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Tesla, the pioneer of electric vehicle stocks, maintained impressive performance despite challenging macroeconomic conditions.

The company is also aggressively scaling up production in its Texas and Germany plants and planning a new factory in Mexico. Despite a sharp drop in 2022, Tesla's stock has made a strong recovery in 2023, lifting its market capitalization beyond $800 billion. Although the high price-to-earnings and price-to-sales ratios suggest potential risk, Tesla's dominant position in the EV market cannot be denied.

In Q2, record EV sales were achieved due to the price cuts. The company produces four models, mainly the Model 3 sedan and Model Y crossover SUV, with the anticipated Cybertruck set for release later this year. The launch dates for the Semi and Roadster have been deferred. After a 40% YoY increase in vehicle sales in 2022, raising the total to 1.31 million units and production up by 47% to 1.37 million, Tesla plans to increase its deliveries by 50% annually.

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  • Revenue: $81.46 billion
  • YTD: +145.40 %
  • Market Cap: $831.25 billion
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Ford (NYSE:F):
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Ford Motor Company, a leader in the American automotive industry, is taking steps to transform itself into a significant player in the electric vehicle (EV) sector, taking cues from Tesla's successful entry into mainstream markets. However, this venture requires significant investment, leading to a restructuring of the company into separate reporting segments to provide investors with greater transparency.

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Despite the promising future of EVs, Ford's transition has been marked by challenges which may affect stock performance in the near term. The company has named its EV division 'Ford Model e', which should be considered as a startup within the parent company. Their primary products are the Mustang Mach-e and F-150 Lightning, and they aim to electrify most of their existing fleet within this division.

However, the segment is currently facing production challenges, similar to those encountered by Tesla and other competitors like Rivian Automotive. The costs of factories, marketing, and engineering are high, which Ford aims to offset through vehicle sales.
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However, initial production rates are low and increase gradually, leading to significant financial losses. For instance, the segment sold 12,000 vehicles in Q1 but incurred a loss of $700 million, translating to a loss of $58,333 per vehicle, or a negative margin of 102% for the quarter.

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  • Revenue: $158.06 billion
  • YTD: +16.27%
  • Market Cap: $54.33 billion

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NIO (NYSE:NIO):‍

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NIO, a Chinese electric car manufacturer that went public in September 2018, has gained increased investor attention due to IPOs by Chinese EV makers like Li Automotive and Xpeng. However, NIO is grappling with a challenging market in China. Even though their deliveries rose by 20.5% year-over-year in Q1 2023, they decreased by 22.5% from the previous quarter. As a result, overall vehicle revenue fell year-over-year, and their gross margin nearly disappeared due to rising costs, with deliveries expected to drop further in Q2.

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In May, NIO launched its new ES6 electric SUV in China, hoping this update will boost deliveries despite a challenging demand environment causing substantial losses. Investors' optimism was bolstered by China's top economic planner's efforts to promote private investments in infrastructure sectors, including transport and clean energy. While this move bodes well for NIO, its stock has already exceeded analysts' average price target, suggesting a potential downside at its current level.

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It should be noted that shares of other Chinese EV manufacturers, such as XPeng and Li Auto, also appreciated following the National Development and Reform Commission's push for investments in transport, clean energy, water, advanced manufacturing, and modern mechanized agriculture.

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  • Revenue: $49.27 billion
  • YTD: +23.68%
  • Market Cap: $20.10 billion

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Rivian (NASDAQ:RIVN):

When Rivian, an electric vehicle company, launched its IPO in late 2021, it sparked significant investor enthusiasm. This resulted in one of the largest U.S. IPOs ever, with the company raising nearly $12 billion and its market value briefly exceeding $150 billion post-debut, reporting a net loss of $1.35 billion against a revenue of $661 million and a negative gross margin.

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At the time of its IPO, Rivian had made few deliveries of its electric trucks or SUVs, rendering investment in the company a substantial risk. Despite this, Rivian manufactured over 1,000 vehicles in 2021, a small figure compared to larger automakers like Tesla. In Q1 2023, the company's deliveries approached 8,000, with plans to produce 50,000 vehicles in that year.

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Rivian is taking on significant risk by choosing to vertically integrate essential components, such as electronics, propulsion platforms, and software. While this strategy could prove profitable with rapid production growth over the coming years, it also implies higher short-term costs.

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  • Revenue: $49.27 billion
  • YTD: +23.68%
  • Market Cap: $23.81 billion

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General Motors (NYSE:GM):

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General Motors (GM), despite substantial sales during Q2, continues to trail Tesla significantly in terms of electric vehicle (EV) volume. The Detroit-based automotive titan reported close to 692,000 cars sold during Q2 2023, marking a 19% YoY increase. All four key brands, including Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet, and GMC, witnessed growth.

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Retail sales grew by 15% in the quarter, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of retail market share increase. Fleet sales via the Envolve program surged by an impressive 34% compared to last year. Average transaction prices rose by $1,482 per vehicle from Q1 2023, while inventory levels remained steady.

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Individual model sales varied. The Chevy Tahoe and Suburban models reported the highest first-half sales since 2007, while Camaro sales more than doubled. Cadillac's CT5 and Escalade models and Buick overall posted robust growth, with Buick unit sales nearing a 50% rise. A decline in other areas balanced these successes.

However, GM's electric vehicle sales comprised only 3.4% of Tesla's EV deliveries for the same period, with just 15,652 EVs sold. Despite GM's low valuation based on earnings multiples, the stock has seen fluctuating fortunes, indicating investor uncertainty about GM's ability to transition to electric vehicles successfully and compete with rivals such as Tesla.

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  • Revenue: $156.74 billion
  • YTD: +13.14%
  • Market Cap: $53.17 billion

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XPeng (NYSE:XPEV):

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XPeng, a prominent Chinese EV manufacturer catering to the midrange to high-end segment and tech-savvy consumers, is mass producing four pure electric models. These include the G3/G3i compact SUV, P7 midsize sedan, P5 compact sedan, and G9 midsize SUV. 

XPeng also plans to launch 2-3 new cars annually from 2023. On June 29, XPeng officially launched the new G6 with a starting price of RMB 209,900 (around $29,000), significantly lower than the starting price of the Model Y at RMB 263,980. The startup recorded over 35,000 preorders for the G6 in just four days after it went on presale on June 9.

XPeng has set ambitious targets for the G6, aiming for 15,000 and 20,000 deliveries in Q3 and Q4 respectively. To put this into context, XPeng delivered 23,205 EVs in Q2, demonstrating steady month-to-month growth.

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  • Revenue: $26.86 billion
  • YTD: +105.30%
  • Market Cap: $17.71 billion

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Conclusion:

Investing in EV stocks is a powerful convergence of economic advancement, ecological responsibility, and tech-driven innovation. As the globe confronts climate change, the pivot towards electric vehicles is not just anticipated but indispensable. Distinguished players like Tesla, Ford, NIO, Rivian, GM, and XPeng offer a diverse investment array within the burgeoning EV sector, each with unique strengths, risks, and potential returns.

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These corporations highlight the burgeoning global appetite for providing investors with the prospect to harmonise their financial aspirations with environmental commitments. Despite hurdles such as market unpredictability, manufacturing hiccups, or high costs, these companies persist, bolstered by government support and evolving consumer demand. Investing in EV stocks thus extends beyond the prospects of profiting from a rapidly expanding industry. It signifies a proactive contribution to a global transition towards sustainable transport—a pivotal step for any visionary investor.

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In navigating this dynamic sector, MEXEM.COM stands as a valuable ally. It offers tools and services to facilitate informed, strategic investments in EV stocks, thereby supporting your journey towards environmentally conscious and profitable investing.

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The information on mexem.com is for general informational purposes only. It should not be regarded as investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risk. A stock's past performance is not a reliable indicator of its future performance. Always consult a financial advisor or trusted sources before making any investment decision

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